Based on current dynamics, analyst Michael Pizzino predicts Bitcoin is headed toward challenging times but foresees a bullish long-term.
The expert critiques common misconceptions about the timing of bull and bear markets, emphasizing the strategic advantage of buying low and selling high, starting from market troughs. He points out that many investors make the mistake of selling during bear markets and buying during bull markets, which can lead to suboptimal investment outcomes.
Speaking on Bitcoin, which is predicted to hit $100,000, the analyst notes that the duration of previous cycles varied significantly, ranging from 979 to 1225 days after the bear market’s bottom. Currently, approximately 585 days into the cycle, the analysis suggests that the climax may be drawing near, though predicting the exact timing remains challenging.
Pizzino also introduces the concept of a “triple pump theory,” suggesting that, based on certain conditions, the market could extend into 2026. Further, the analyst outlines the expected timeframes for the initial peaks following a breakout into new high territories, typically occurring within 7-8 weeks, with total cycle lengths ranging from 34 to 48 weeks. Other analysts state that Bitcoin could surge to $150,000, while others predict it could reach $200,000.
Analyzing Bitcoin charts, we see a bullish pennant pattern, identified by a sharp rise in price, followed by a consolidation phase that takes the form of a small symmetrical triangle characterized by converging trend lines. This pattern is typically considered a continuation pattern, suggesting a potential breakout in the direction of the preceding trend (upwards, in this case). The chart indicates a potential price target depicted by a dotted line extending upwards from the tip of the pennant. This target is calculated by measuring the height of the prior uptrend (the flagpole) and projecting it upward from the point of breakout. If the price breaks above the upper boundary of the pennant, it suggests that Bitcoin might aim for this target, which appears to be around $67,000.
4-hour BTC/USD Chart | Source: TradingView
On the other hand, the Money Flow Index (MFI) is shown at a level of around 54.36, which is moderately bullish. The MFI considers both price and volume, indicating that buying pressure is present but not extremely high, consistent with the consolidation phase.
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